That's a reasonable way to look at it, if you like the guy. And you very well may be right; all it takes is one team that agrees with you to grab him in the second round. It's still possible, but I'm still kind of dubious. I'd view him as a good risk in the late 3rd or 4th, a bad risk in the 2nd, a really bad risk in the 1st, at this point.
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