Boise never impresses me, they just keep slipping by. They beat a BCS conference team but the team was 7-5, lost three games by a total of 104 points and also lost to Wash St. If Boise doesn't lose at home to SDSU, they are in a BCS game.
They were hard to predict this year. They had a lot of close games and mostly won with defense while their offense was poor. Washington had more quality wins, thats why I picked them. But your right, every time I pick Boise to lose they end up winning.