Should the Raiders draft JaMarcus Russell or Calvin Johnson?
Should your team take a chance on Brady Quinn?
Is Joe Thomas a future Pro Bowl left tackle?
Scouts and general managers are paid to evaluate the individual talents of these players, but there is another way to look at risk assessment in a more general sense: Which positions pay the most dividends in the NFL draft?
We studied 15 years of first-round picks -- 1989 through 2003 -- and analyzed the success (or failure) of each player, ultimately determining a "bust percentage" for each position.
Our conclusion: drafting Russell is riskier than drafting Johnson ... and much riskier than drafting potential a stalwart left tackle like Thomas.
Let's start with draft history for the most important position on the field.
ESPN.com: Page 2 : Draft risk study: Quarterbacks