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Jackson has thrived when getting 20-plus carries Part 1
By Len Pasquarelli
ESPN.com
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Born and raised in Las Vegas, where both his parents worked in casinos, Steven Jackson realizes the unique relationship between numbers and odds.
OK, so the St. Louis Rams' third-year tailback might not be the guy you want advising you at the blackjack table, as you're agonizing over whether to take another hit while holding 16, and his head usually spins over all of the confusing permutations of the roulette wheel. The fact is, if Jackson is down $100, he pretty much considers himself tapped out and heads home for the evening.
But here's a winning parlay he understands well after only two NFL seasons: Give Jackson 20 carries, he'll get 100 yards, and the odds are pretty solid that the Rams will win.
"I know what they're telling me in terms of how many carries they say I'm going to get. But I've heard those kinds of things before. I even went to [running backs coach] Wayne Moses the other day and told him, 'Now don't be teasing me. Don't be telling me what you think I want to hear just to pacify me.' "
Steven Jackson
"Now those are numbers," said Jackson, the Rams' first-round choice in the 2004 draft, "that are like magic numbers to me. Even I'd bet on those. And I'm not a very big gambler. I can't run with guys like [Charles] Barkley and that crowd. But, yeah, I know that those [represent] some winning numbers."
Five times in his still fledgling NFL career, Jackson has logged 20 or more rushing attempts in a game. The results in those contests: an average of 130.6 yards per outing, 5.4 yards per carry, and five victories for the Rams. Of the team's six wins in 2005, half came in games in which Jackson was the offensive workhorse. Only once in the five contests in which Jackson got 20 carries did he fail to crack the 100-yard mark. Twice in those games, he had more than 145 yards, including a career-best 179 against Jacksonville on Oct. 30.
Roll the dice with Jackson, a big back (6-foot-2, 231 pounds) with quick feet and nifty moves, and the odds are pretty good you won't crap out, as his brief league history indicates. And if offseason rhetoric emanating from first-year coach Scott Linehan means anything, the St. Louis offense expects to roll a whole lot of 7's with its starting tailback in 2006.
Which is sweet music to the ears of Jackson, who often chafed in the past at the lack of carries he got under former coach Mike Martz, dismissed after a 2006 season in which he missed much of the season because of a bout with endocarditis, an inflammation of a heart valve. In 14 of 29 appearances in 2004-2005, Jackson had 10 carries or less, in part because of the presence of future Pro Football Hall of Fame tailback Marshall Faulk, but also, he feels, because Martz lacked faith in him.
The track record of Linehan during his years as offensive coordinator in Minnesota (2002-2004) and Miami (2005) is that he prefers to run the ball first. Make no mistake, Linehan wants a vertical passing game, too, and some felt that with the Vikings in 2004 he fell too much in love with the deep pass, to the overall detriment of the Vikings' offense. That season, though, appears to have been an aberration.
In the Linehan-designed offense, it certainly seems St. Louis will use far fewer spread-type formations and run the ball, specifically with Jackson, a lot more.
Jackson, who won't even turn 23 until just before the start of training camp, has suggested he could get the ball 25 times a game. But a dose of reality here: Extrapolate that over a 16-game schedule and it's 400 rushes, a number reached by just three running backs in NFL history. A more realistic number is the magic 20 carries per game that Jackson covets, and he plans to hold the coaching staff to its promises that he is about to become its offensive centerpiece.
The former Oregon State star, the 24th overall selection in the 2004 draft, rushed for 1,046 yards in 2005. In his mind, he might have piled another 1,000 yards on top of that had he gotten the ball more. And so he hasn't been shy about reminding Rams coaches of the team's 5-0 mark when he gets 20 carries in a game.
"Do I think I could run for 2,000 yards if I got the ball 20 or 25 times a game? I think it's possible," said Jackson, without a hint of bravado. "I know what they're telling me in terms of how many carries they say I'm going to get. But I've heard those kinds of things before. I even went to [running backs coach] Wayne Moses the other day and told him, 'Now don't be teasing me. Don't be telling me what you think I want to hear just to pacify me.' And he reassured me that I'm going to get my carries. But, you know, the proof will be in the pudding. I do think, though, that I'm viewed sort of in a different way around here now. I feel, for the first time, like I've got the confidence of the organization."