Chris Johnson's Slump in New Light ... - Football Forum - NFL, CFL & College Football Forums
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Old 11-15-2011, 12:18 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Chris Johnson's Slump in New Light ...

In the first 3 seasons of any RB's career, Chris Johnson ranked #4 all-time in yards from scrimmage. He had accounted for 5,606 yards. The only RBs with a faster start were Jamal Lewis (5,700), Eric Dickerson (5,816), and LT (6,145).

Through four season, he already had his work cut out for him to remain in the top 5 all-time for the start of a RBs career, because Terrell Davis had his 2,000 yard rushing season in his fourth year.

The top 5 read this way:
#1 LT - 7,921
#2 Eric Dickerson - 7,842
#3 Terrell Davis - 7,594
#4 Clinton Portis - 7,059
#5 Barry Sanders - 6,968

So, he needed 1,362 to bump Barry Sanders out of the top five and 2,236 to take over first place.

The top ten is rounded out with Jamal Lewis who had 6,822 yards in his first four seasons. So, CJ needed 1,216 to pull himself into the top ten.

In 9 games this season, CJ has only mustered 746 yards to bring his career total to only 6,352 ... good for #17 all-time.

He is sitting only 7 yards behind Eddie George (the all-time leading rusher in Titans-Oilers history), who had 6,359 yards in his first 4 seasons and only 75 yards behind the legendary Walter Payton, who had 6,427 to start his Hall of Fame career, and is 85 yards behind Ricky Williams (6,437). So, one would figure that CJ will overtake them 3 and move himself solidly into the top 15 all-time this week (he would be #14).

Had he went threw the training camps and preseason, he may not have started so slow. If he hadn't started so slow, then you would almost certainly be in the top ten already and climbing his way into the top 5. As it is, he needs to average around 68 yards a game from scrimmage for the rest of the season to pull himself into the top 10.
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Old 11-15-2011, 02:05 PM   #2 (permalink)
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I'm sorry... I know you like the Titans and all, but what the hell kind of light does this change on the situation?

Chris Johnson's wheels have fallen off. He's seen too much work and that's really all there is to it. Couple that with his poor attitude and he falls into the "Could Have, Should Have, But Didn't" club, of which Ricky Williams, whom you mentioned, is a member and quite possibly the president.

The fact of the matter is that getting 2000 yards almost killed him. He won't be the same ever again and he'll be lucky to break 1500 yards ever again.

He benifited from splitting carries with White when he was a rookie. Then he benifited from teams not knowing what he was all about, all by himself. Now teams have him figured out and that's all there really is to say about that. He got paid just in time to retire.
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Old 11-15-2011, 03:08 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Everyone points out that he is slumping, that he isn't producing ... but I've not seen anyone talk about it's affect on his mark in history. When he was going for 2,000 and breaking the single-season yards from scrimmage record, everyone was all about his mark in history and how he was one of the top 5 backs of all-time as far as production. Now, he has fallen from #25 as a rookie to #3 in second year and it's all anyone talked about. His third year, he continued his great production and stayed steady, finishing #4 all-time and anytime you turned on NFL Network it's all they talked about.

Now that he is slumping, going from #4 to #17 is quite a drop ... I haven't seen it mentioned at all.

They do have him figured out, and the offensive line can't figure out how to re-puzzled them. They can't block, and he gives up by the second half. I was shocked when they cut White ... I still wear my White jersey to every other game. I had hopes they would keep Johnson on the active roster to use as a White-like 1-2 punch. We switched blocking schemes, also ... I'm not sure why. We have 2 HOF linemen on the team, one of which designed the previous blocking scheme that took CJ to his sucess, and they completely re-did our blocking this year. They need to admit defeat and go back to successful times.
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Old 11-15-2011, 04:03 PM   #4 (permalink)
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There are a lot things out there to consider with reguard to this matter though. One thing are his touches. It's a well known fact that the more back carries, the more he's going to get hurt.

Here's an interesting article I found that really does point to where and why I'm thinking it's all over...

Running Back Carries

More reading...

Miles vs. Age

Another good read...

When you factor in the fact that this guy was making as much of a fuss as he was to get resigned not only once, but twice, I think he knows what we should all know. The CJ gravy train is at an end, or very near to it.

Further, and on the same line of thinking, splitting carries is the best way for a back to have a long career. We all know what happened with White, when CJ "ran" him out of town saying that he wasn't goign to split carries anymore. And that's where the problems started in attitude and the thicker flow of sands in the hour glass of Johnson's career started to flow.

He had White to split carries with him, taking away a lot of the up the middle type of runs I might add. When he lost that, he was now the go to guy and called on to run up the middle, around the edge, everything! He saw White as a threat to his reputation of being in primier back, but were he a little smarter he would have seen White as someone they had to make his career last longer.

The Titans had the chance, once again, to add another power back in there to help Johnson with his carries in Blount, but problems on the team and poor managment let him slip away and once again, Johnson is left to carry everything on his shoulders... Which we all see how well it's going.

Every back has a magical number of carries in their time in the league. But the fact remains, that the average life of an NFL running back is 5 years.
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